Liverpool took another huge stride to finishing in the top four this season after coming from behind to take all three points against Burnley. The Reds remain 4th on 55 points five, ahead of Arsenal in 5th, but The Gunners do have two games in hand.
It’s no secret that Liverpool have underperformed against the sides in the lower half of the table, losing five of those 11 games. In stark contrast Jurgen Klopp’s side are unbeaten against the top ten, so will they be in the top four at the end of the season?
Over the course of the last five seasons the average points tally to finish 4th is 71. Liverpool need just 16 points from their final ten games to equal that number. So let’s see if they can manage 70+ points from their remaining fixtures based on how they fared in those games earlier in the season.
Liverpool’s remaining fixtures:
Manchester City (A) – Reverse Result: W
Everton (H) – Reverse Result: W
Bournemouth (H) – Reverse Result: L
Stoke (A) – Reverse Result: W
West Brom (A) – Reverse Result: W
Palace (H) – Reverse Result: W
Watford (A) – Reverse Result: W
Southampton (H) – Reverse Result: D
West Ham (A) – Reverse Result: D
Middlesbrough (H) – Reverse Result: W
Above we can see the ten games Liverpool have left to play followed by the result in the reverse fixture. In those games they picked up 23 points, if they are to replicate that form they will finish the season on 78, which based on the average of the last five Premier League seasons would be enough to finish in the top four.
Obviously there is little chance that the results will be identical but what’s encouraging for Liverpool is they remain on course to finish in the top four, something that was a hope more than an expectation at the start of the season.
Do you think Liverpool can make the top four?