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Analysis: How Tottenham’s goal output will be affected following Kane’s injury

Spurs set for a tough run-in with fears Harry Kane could miss the rest of the season

Tottenham eased into the FA Cup semi-finals with a 6-o win over Millwall on Sunday but they may have lost Harry Kane for the next few weeks, if not the rest of the season.

The England striker limped off after rolling his ankle in the sixth minute on Sunday and Mauricio Pochettino revealed after the game that it was the same injury as the one that ruled him out for seven weeks back in September.

Kane has been in incredible form in 2017, scoring 14 goals in 13 games in all competitions and picking up February’s Premier League Player of the Month award. He has scored three hat-tricks in that time and is tied with Romelu Lukaku as the league’s top goalscorer on 22.

 

Just last week, we wrote about his incredible form and how he is on track to break Alan Shearer’s incredible Premier League goalscoring record. But that looks to have been put on hold, perhaps for the rest of the season.

Spurs made light work of Millwall after Kane’s departure, with Heung-Min Son scoring his first Spurs hat-trick after filling in for Kane as the lone striker. But that was Millwall who are miles off Spurs, proven by the fact they sit 48 places below them in English football.

Spurs have an FA Cup semi-final to prepare for as well as 11 more crucial Premier League games as they look to secure a Champions League spot for the second-straight season.

There is no current timescale on Kane’s injury, although he left White Hart Lane on crutches on Sunday evening and some reports suggest his season could be over if the injury is as bad as feared.

Spurs struggled during their ten games without Kane earlier this season, scoring just 13 goals while he was on the sidelines – almost half of which came in a 5-0 EFL Cup win over Gillingham. The evidence below proves just how important his goalscoring is to the side.

2016/17
Games
Win Rate
Goals
Goals Per Game
With Kane
29
59%
63
2.2
Without Kane
12
66%
19
1.6

On top of the ten games he missed through injury, Kane also sat out of two FA Cup games in January as he was rested. Tottenham have actually registered a better win percentage without Kane than with their star attacker this campaign. But it’s worth noting that three of their eight wins without Kane came against Gillingham, Aston Villa and Wycombe.

The more obvious concern is just how much Spurs struggle to score goals without the frontman, averaging 0.6 goals less per game without him.

Below is a list of games Kane would miss over the next seven weeks, assuming he has picked up the exact same injury as earlier this term:

March 19 – Southampton (H)

April 1 – Burnley (A)

April 5 – Swansea (A)

April 8 – Watford (H)

April 15 – Bournemouth (H)

April 22/23 – Chelsea (N) – FA Cup semi-final

April 30 – Arsenal (H)

The standout fixtures are the two at the end of April – the FA Cup semi-final against Chelsea at Wembley and the final North London Derby at White Hart Lane. The promising thing for Spurs is that those two games are six weeks away, so there is still a chance Kane could recover in time, depending on the severity of his injury.

Heung-Min Son is likely to be the man to fill in for Kane over the next few weeks, although Vincent Janssen offers an alternative option for Pochettino. The Dutchman’s struggles have been well documented over the course of this season but he scored his first goal from open play in a Spurs shirt during the win over Millwall and could now be poised for a regular run in the side.

But regardless of who fills in for Harry Kane, they won’t be able to replicate his tremendous goalscoring form of late. Spurs just have to hope that his absence doesn’t lead to their season unravelling at the most vital stage.

How do you think Tottenham will fare without Harry Kane following his latest injury? 

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About Louis East (1195 Articles)
Editor of MLSGB.com. Premier League and MLS reporter.

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