It took two stoppage time goals in Minnesota for Seattle Sounders FC to turn a 1-0 deficit into a 2-1 win against Minnesota United, extending the Sounders’ unbeaten streak to seven on top of four straight wins. Seattle now sits on 29 points through 22 games and are eighth in the West, just four points behind Real Salt Lake.
The turn of form has resulted in 17 points for Sounders over their seven-game unbeaten run, more than doubling their point total of 12 through 15 games to start the season while climbing out of the cellar in the West.
Having never missed the playoffs since joining MLS in 2009, Sounders players have acknowledged the pressure on them to clinch their 10th-straight playoff berth and tie the LA Galaxy for the league record.
Looking at the past three seasons since MLS expanded the playoffs to six teams, the sixth seed in either conference has finished the season with an average around 46 points. With that in mind, Seattle will need to take at least 17 points through their last 12 games to be in contention for the final playoff position.
Luckily for Seattle, seven of the last 12 are at home and seven are against teams currently outside of the playoff picture.
Here’s the Sounders’ schedule for the rest of the regular season:
- August 12th, Home vs. FC Dallas
- August 18th, Home vs. LA Galaxy
- August 26th, Away vs. Portland
- September 1st, Home vs. Kansas City
- September 15th, Away vs. Vancouver
- September 19th, Home vs. Philadelphia
- September 23rd, Away vs. LA Galaxy
- September 29th, Home vs. Colorado
- October 8th, Home vs. Houston
- October 17th, Away vs. Orlando
- October 21st, Away vs. Houston
- October 28th, Home vs. San Jose
Of those 12 matches, at least four should be wins for Sounders: San Jose, Home vs. Houston, Philadelphia, and Colorado. Away matches against Vancouver and Orlando are great chances for Sounders to take three points and although they have struggled to get results in Houston, recent form from the Dynamo makes that matchup seem favourable for Seattle.
If Seattle manages to win all seven of those games, they’d sit on 50 points which based off of recent history should be enough to make at least sixth in the West. That could be a tough ask though with short turnaround from Orlando to Houston making the two game road trip a bit more difficult to take maximum points.
The five remaining games, Dallas, LA home and away, Portland, and Kansas City, will be the biggest decider for Seattle. Dallas having lost at home against a struggling San Jose Earthquakes side looks to be a great chance for Sounders to get three points at home to help their playoff chances, especially with Seattle on their current unbeaten streak.
After taking over the team in 2016, Brian Schmetzer lead Sounders to a 8-2-3 record to end the season en route to winning MLS Cup. This time around Sounders need to end the year at 7-2-3 to safely make the playoffs which seems like an achievable goal based off their opponents but will still be a difficult task to achieve.
If Sounders can maintain their form, expect to see them playing in their tenth straight playoffs but should they slip, it would be a very disappointing season for a club with such consistently high aspirations.