Analysis: How Tottenham’s goal output will be affected following Kane’s injury

Tottenham eased into the FA Cup semi-finals with a 6-o win over Millwall on Sunday but they may have lost Harry Kane for the next few weeks, if not the rest of the season.

The England striker limped off after rolling his ankle in the sixth minute on Sunday and Mauricio Pochettino revealed after the game that it was the same injury as the one that ruled him out for seven weeks back in September.

Kane has been in incredible form in 2017, scoring 14 goals in 13 games in all competitions and picking up February’s Premier League Player of the Month award. He has scored three hat-tricks in that time and is tied with Romelu Lukaku as the league’s top goalscorer on 22.

 

Just last week, we wrote about his incredible form and how he is on track to break Alan Shearer’s incredible Premier League goalscoring record. But that looks to have been put on hold, perhaps for the rest of the season.

Spurs made light work of Millwall after Kane’s departure, with Heung-Min Son scoring his first Spurs hat-trick after filling in for Kane as the lone striker. But that was Millwall who are miles off Spurs, proven by the fact they sit 48 places below them in English football.

Spurs have an FA Cup semi-final to prepare for as well as 11 more crucial Premier League games as they look to secure a Champions League spot for the second-straight season.

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There is no current timescale on Kane’s injury, although he left White Hart Lane on crutches on Sunday evening and some reports suggest his season could be over if the injury is as bad as feared.

Spurs struggled during their ten games without Kane earlier this season, scoring just 13 goals while he was on the sidelines – almost half of which came in a 5-0 EFL Cup win over Gillingham. The evidence below proves just how important his goalscoring is to the side.

2016/17
Games
Win Rate
Goals
Goals Per Game
With Kane
29
59%
63
2.2
Without Kane
12
66%
19
1.6

On top of the ten games he missed through injury, Kane also sat out of two FA Cup games in January as he was rested. Tottenham have actually registered a better win percentage without Kane than with their star attacker this campaign. But it’s worth noting that three of their eight wins without Kane came against Gillingham, Aston Villa and Wycombe.

The more obvious concern is just how much Spurs struggle to score goals without the frontman, averaging 0.6 goals less per game without him.

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Below is a list of games Kane would miss over the next seven weeks, assuming he has picked up the exact same injury as earlier this term:

March 19 – Southampton (H)

April 1 – Burnley (A)

April 5 – Swansea (A)

April 8 – Watford (H)

April 15 – Bournemouth (H)

April 22/23 – Chelsea (N) – FA Cup semi-final

April 30 – Arsenal (H)

The standout fixtures are the two at the end of April – the FA Cup semi-final against Chelsea at Wembley and the final North London Derby at White Hart Lane. The promising thing for Spurs is that those two games are six weeks away, so there is still a chance Kane could recover in time, depending on the severity of his injury.

Heung-Min Son is likely to be the man to fill in for Kane over the next few weeks, although Vincent Janssen offers an alternative option for Pochettino. The Dutchman’s struggles have been well documented over the course of this season but he scored his first goal from open play in a Spurs shirt during the win over Millwall and could now be poised for a regular run in the side.

But regardless of who fills in for Harry Kane, they won’t be able to replicate his tremendous goalscoring form of late. Spurs just have to hope that his absence doesn’t lead to their season unravelling at the most vital stage.

How do you think Tottenham will fare without Harry Kane following his latest injury? 

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FA Cup Preview and Prediction: Colchester vs Tottenham

Competition: FA Cup Fourth Round – Colchester United vs. Tottenham Hotspur

Venue: Colchester Community Stadium – Saturday, January 30 – 12:45 BST (07:45 EST)

Match Odds: Colchester United 7/1 – Draw 4/1 – Tottenham Hotspur 4/11

Match Preview

Colchester United welcome Premier League giants Tottenham Hotspur to the Community Stadium in the fourth round of the FA Cup in Saturday’s early kickoff.

Colchester knocked out London opposition in the third round, with a 2-1 win over Charlton Athletic helping them to progress to this stage and they’ll be dreaming of another win in what is a huge game for the League One side.

Notable players from the current Colchester crop include Callum Harriott, Darren Ambrose, Marvin Sordell and George Elokobi.

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Their league form will see Spurs’ licking their lips, as Colchester have failed to win in League One in their last 14 attempts. They sit bottom of the table and are really struggling.

Tottenham on the other hand, have lost only twice in the same amount of games (14) in all competitions. They sit fourth in the top flight and look dangerous every time they take to the field.

An upset is not out of the question however, as Mauricio Pochettino is expected to rest first team regulars such as Harry Kane, Dele Alli and Hugo Lloris.

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The prospect of a decent cup run may be too much to turn down for the Lillywhites, so we still expect a relatively strong squad to play with a safe passage through to the next round widely expected.

Key Points

Colchester United’s last five: D/W/L/D/L

Tottenham Hotspur’s last five: D/L/W/W/W

Key Stat: This will be the first meeting between the two sides competitively.

Key Player: Heung-Min Son – The Korean forward had made his mark in North London, having already fired Spurs into the fourth round with his fine display at Leicester in the third round replay. We expect more of the same from the attacker here.

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Score Prediction

Colchester United 0-3 Tottenham Hotspur – Colchester are enduring a tough season and are stuck at the bottom of the League One table. Spurs, by stark contrast, are flying and look to be in a really promising position. They have a big squad and should have no difficulty in beating Colchester this weekend.

Spurs preparing £25m DOUBLE swoop for wingers – report

Tottenham are looking to strengthen their squad in the wide areas this summer as moves are being lined up for Chelsea’s Mohamed Salah and Bayer Leverkusen’s Heung-Min Son, according to various reports.

Spurs are set to miss out on Champions League football once again this season and lots of changes are expected to be made over the course of the summer.

Mauricio Pochettino will look to bring in at least one new wide man, though two could be brought in if the latest reports are to be believed.

Chelsea winger Mohamed Salah is being lined up and Spurs will test their London rivals resolve with a move for the Egyptian star who is currently on loan with Fiorentina, according to the Daily Mail.

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Salah, 22, played a key part in knocking Spurs out of the Europa League earlier this season and now the Lilywhites want to sign the out of favour Chelsea man, who joined from FC Basel for £11 million just 18 months ago.

Juan Cuadrado’s arrival in January means a return to the Chelsea lineup is highly unlikely for Salah and he could join Spurs for around £10 million if a deal can be negotiated.

As well as Salah, Spurs are being linked with a move for Leverkusen winger Heung-Min Son, who is also a target of Liverpool’s, and will try and sign the South Korean for around £15 million, the Daily Mirror reports.

The 22-year-old has scored 11 goals with three assists in 27 Bundesliga appearances this season for Leverkusen but his performances have led to interest from the Premier League and Spurs will battle Liverpool for his signature.

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Both clubs are unlikely to qualify for the Champions League next season and that could be a blow in any pursuit.

If Spurs are to bring in a couple of wide men, current players will have to move on, with Aaron Lennon expected to complete a permanent switch to Everton, while Andros Townsend and Erik Lamela have been linked with summer exits.

Who would be a better signing for Spurs this summer – Heung-Min Son or Mohamed Salah?