Could Harry Kane become the all-time Premier League top scorer?

Tottenham Hotspur striker Harry Kane has had a fantastic Premier League season and is on track to win the Golden Boot with one game to play. The Englishman has netted 25 goals and Lewis Addley explores whether or not he could become the all-time leading goalscorer in Premier League history…

Harry Kane’s Premier League goalscoring record currently stands at 49 goals in 85 games, giving him an average of 0.57 goals per game.

Alan Shearer remains the all-time leading goalscorer in Premier League history, scoring 260 over the course of a stellar career with Blackburn Rovers and Newcastle United from the 1992/93 season until he retired aged 35 at the end of the 2005/06 season.

Kane is only young but has already been compared to Shearer on several occasions for his direct and attacking play style, so lets have a look at how the two compare by their Premier League statistics respectively.

Kane vs. Shearer

Alan Shearer’s Premier League goalscoring record compared to Harry Kane

As we can see in the table above, the standout comparison to be made is in the form of ‘goals per game’. The two strikers can barely be separated in this respect, with Shearer just edging it by averaging 0.01 more goals per appearance.

Embed from Getty Images

So how can we hypothetically test the theory of Kane potentially equalling Shearer’s record at this early stage?

First of all we can minus Kane’s current statistics from his career so far from Shearer’s overall statistics. Using that method allows us to have an idea of what Kane would need to do to equal Shearer over the next decade or so.

Screen Shot 2016-05-13 at 15.21.45

Games and goals remaining for Kane to equal Shearer’s record

As we can see, Kane will hypothetically have 356 Premier League games to score 211 goals if he was to equal Shearer’s tally of 260 league goals. This would require him to increase his goals-per-game output by 0.02.

Harry Kane will be 23 come the start of the next Premier League season. Shearer retired aged 35. This gives another hypothesis to explore. The remaining time Kane has to reach Shearer’s retirement age is 12 years, potentially giving him 12 Premier League seasons to shine in.

A total of 12 more Premier League seasons would allow for a maximum of 456 games. This would allow Kane to miss 100 games across 12 seasons to factor in the likelihood of time spent on the sideline through injury, suspension, illness or any other reason.

Embed from Getty Images

We must mention that we are only working with hypothetical statistics here, as Kane could move from the Premier League, play less games because of injuries, or more games by enjoying a longer career than Shearer.

While we aren’t suggesting that Kane is or isn’t going to beat Shearer’s record, the stats we have looked into offer an interesting talking point.

Providing Kane remains fit and able to continue with his current scoring ratio, he does hypothetically stand a very good chance of reaching or even surpassing 260 goals in the Premier League.

Do you think Kane has the potential to become the all-time leading goalscorer in the Premier League? Will Alan Shearer’s record ever be broken?

Advertisements

Kane and Giroud most productive Premier League strikers in 2015 so far

Another entertaining weekend of Premier League fixtures saw yet more twists and turns in the race for the title, European qualification and the battle to avoid relegation with strikers playing a key part once again.

Every club knows how important it is to have a talisman consistently leading the line to an excellent standard in order to reach the targets each club sets, whether it be winning the league or purely league survival.

The 2014/15 season has seen new stars emerge and make a name for themselves such as Englishmen Harry Kane and Charlie Austin, to name just two that have been an excellent revelation.

So how has each Premier League striker fared in 2015 since the turn of the year three-and-a-half months ago?

Premier League goal contribution in 2015 (showing only strikers who have contributed a minimum of five goals this year)

Premier League goals contribution in 2015 (showing only strikers who’ve contributed a minimum of five goals this year)

Tottenham striker Harry Kane has been the stand-out performer with an incredible 11 goals in ten games to go with his two assists.

The list of original superlatives left to describe the 21-year-old is running very thin indeed and he will surely be in with a big shout for Premier League Player of the Season.

Kane has played a part in nine of Tottenham’s last 14 Premier League goals and who knows where Spurs would be without him?

Arsenal‘s Olivier Giroud has contributed the next most goals out of any striker in 2015 having netted six and assisted three.

Embed from Getty Images

The big Frenchman is often subjected to criticism, particularly when he was hauled off after 60 minutes in the first-leg of Arsenal’s Champions League last-16 game against Monaco when he had what can only be described as a nightmare performance.

Take that game out of the equation though and Giroud has been excellent for the Gunners since returning from injury in November and has scored six goals in his last eight Premier League appearances.

Diego Costa notched another goal on Sunday in Chelsea‘s 1-1 draw with Southampton taking his 2015 tally to five. The Spaniard is the top goalscorer in the Premier League this season with 18 goals.

Embed from Getty Images

Love him or hate him, Costa has undoubtedly been one of the star performers. The Blues are in an excellent position to ensure they win the title this season and his goals are certainly one of the reasons why.

Sergio Aguero, Danny Ings and Saido Berahino have been the next most productive strikers in 2015, while Charlie Austin has managed three goals from nine appearances this year and also remains the fourth top-goalscorer overall in the league with 15. The race for the Golden Boot looks set to go to the wire.